Fugazi Comeback · Central NY
The official programme of a team that keeps doing everything right and losing anyway.
Exhibit A
Expected wins come from the all-play record: every week, how many of the other nine teams would you have beaten? A team with average luck wins about that share of its games. You haven't.
Points against, on pace
Regular season only (weeks 1–14). Current-season totals are projected: points against so far ÷ games played × 14.
Most points against in a regular season, league history
Biggest single-game scores against anyone
Exhibit B
How far each opponent scored above (or below) their own average in their other games
Your exact weekly scores, played against each other team's opponents
Each team's real weekly scores, played against your opponents instead of their own
Actual wins minus all-play expected wins. Bars to the left mean the schedule took wins from you.
The only way out
Six teams make the playoffs. The two division winners get seeds 1–2 and a first-round bye; everyone else fights over four wild-card spots by record, with points for as the tiebreaker. The model below plays out the rest of the season 10,000 times, using each team's scoring so far, pulled toward the league average, then lowered in any week a team loses players to NFL byes (see Bye-week watch).
Tap a game to force a win or a loss. The odds above recalculate.
Simulated with your calls applied
Bye odds by how many of your remaining division games you win
Plan the lineup, plan the trade
Each team's "bye hit" is how many points its best possible lineup loses that week, using every player's points per game (games played only), after bench players fill in. Kickers and defenses are left out since they get streamed. It counts depth, so a bye you can cover barely registers. The playoff odds above already include these hits.
Your players whose bye still costs you points, ranked by that cost
Productive players on other rosters whose bye is behind them. They'll play every remaining week.
Deadline day, every day
Each trade is scored by the fantasy points its pieces put up as starters for the team that got them, from the trade onward. Traded draft picks are traced to the player they turned into, and to that player's points.